Energy & Utilities - Foresight
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We provide Foresight services in Energy & Utilities since 1998 – with emphasis in Market & Industry, Technology, and Problem-Specific Foresight.
ICG uses a wide range of the Foresight techniques – such as expert panels, Delphi method, strategic analysis/planning methods (SWOT, PEST, STEER, EPISTEL, etc.), brainstorming, scenario analysis and planning, causal layered analysis (CLA), morphological analysis and cross-consistency assessment, relevance trees, systems engineering, etc.
We have partner relations with governmental agencies responsible for energy market regulation and standards/safety, several large state-run and private energy producers, suppliers of energy equipment, energy distributors, industry unions and associations, etc. We have abilities to make expert interviews in local languages.
To overcome foresight methods' major limitations (such as ignoring of the minor opinions frequently presenting the “creative” approach not shared with the majority of the experts; experts’ “conformism”; organizational challenges at large expert group management, etc.) we actively use such advanced methods as chaos theory, catastrophe theory, tensor analysis, graphs theory, game theory, case based reasoning (CBR), genetic algorithms, etc. in our Foresight projects.
Here is what we can cover as related to the foresight in Energy & Utilities markets:
- Alternative sources
- Nationwide electric grids
- Regional and municipal electric grids
- Municipal heat networks
- Natural gas
- Other alternative sources
- Energy demand
- Energy production
- Lack/surplus of energy – energy export/import
- Market volume/value
- Segmentation (by power plant type - i.e. thermal, hydro, nuclear; by fuel type; etc.)
- Market organization - including power industry reforming
- Power market regulation, including tariffs
- Water supply
- Gas in-house supply
- Waste utilization